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Remember all of those left-skewing polls that were showing Democrat presidential nominee Hillary Clinton with a gigantic, almost-insurmountable lead? Yes, well, about those … it seems that the one poll called the “most accurate presidential poll” by several media sources was dropping jaws by giving Donald Trump a slight edge.
The Investor’s Business Daily/TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence (TIPP) tracking poll has been typically accurate for years, predicting the last three elections correctly. Updated every morning at 6 a.m., it gave a 1-point lead to the Republican nominee going into last night’s debate.
“After more than a week of blistering attacks from Democrats, celebrities and the press, Donald Trump has managed to pull ahead of Hillary Clinton by a 1.3 percentage point margin — 41.3 percent to 40 percent — in a four-way matchup, according to the new IBD/TIPP poll released today,” the results read.
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“Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson got 7.6 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein got 5.5 percent. The results are the first in the IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. Daily updates start Thursday and will continue until the election.”
Perhaps surprisingly, in a two-way matchup, Clinton was beating Trump — a sign that this year’s trend towards third-party candidates might help Trump as opposed to hurting him.
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This seems to contradict a lot of polls that we’ve seen recently, but a lot of those polls have simply been wrong on purpose. Take, for example, the Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll released earlier this week that showed Hillary holding an immense 11-point lead nationally over Trump.
It seemed pretty damning until you looked at the sampling:
A whopping 46 percent of the poll’s sample voted for Obama in 2012 as opposed to 32 percent voting for Romney. Considering that Romney lost by only 4 points that year, it’s pretty clear that liberals were dramatically oversampled.
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Daily tracking polls — in particular, the Los Angeles Times poll and the IBD/TIPP poll — have been showing a much closer race than these other polls. That’s what the media isn’t reporting — and what might bite them come Nov. 8.
H/T WND
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